SOL Sentiment

Polymarket prediction markets

SOL/USDT

$80

BULLISH

52.3% up

Last update: 02:42 AM UTC

Combined Sentiment

BULLISH

15 min

—

1 day

PM: 52.3%

Pivot Strikes

Strike price closest to 50% probability for each date

April 1

$0K

88%

April 2

$0K

79%

April 3

$0K

74%

April 4

$0K

71%

April 5

$0K

69%

April 6

$0K

66%

April 7

$0K

65%

Fair Value Analysis

Low Vol

Historical probabilities vs Polymarket odds (30d lookback)

μ: -0.01%

σ: 0.76%

P(up): 50.8%

n=720

μ: -0.05%

σ: 1.58%

P(up): 51.1%

n=180

μ: -0.20%

σ: 3.06%

P(up): 46.7%

n=30

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Strike Ladder

Probability of SOL above each strike at resolution. Hover for details.

Price:

Strike	Diff%	Fair (4h/30d)	Apr 1	Apr 2	Apr 3	Apr 4	Apr 5	Apr 6	Apr 7
$140	+75.0%	1%	0% April 1 @ $140 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $32K	0% April 2 @ $140 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $590 Liquidity: $37K	—	—	—	—	—
$130	+62.5%	1%	0% April 1 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $22K	0% April 2 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $16K	0% April 3 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $16K	—	2% April 5 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $25 Liquidity: $10K	2% April 6 @ $130 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $10K	2% April 7 @ $130 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $71 Liquidity: $10K
$120	+50.0%	1%	0% April 1 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $22K	0% April 2 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $18K	0% April 3 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $16K	0% April 4 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $15K	2% April 5 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $30 Liquidity: $10K	2% April 6 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $10K	2% April 7 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $161 Liquidity: $10K
$110	+37.5%	1%	0% April 1 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $16K	0% April 2 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $16K	1% April 3 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.3% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $17K	0% April 4 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $16K	1% April 5 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $207 Liquidity: $11K	2% April 6 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $492 Liquidity: $10K	2% April 7 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.9% Volume: $302 Liquidity: $10K
$100	+25.0%	1%	0% April 1 @ $100 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $17K	0% April 2 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $16K	2% April 3 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.5% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $15K	2% April 4 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $15K	2% April 5 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.9% Volume: $210 Liquidity: $10K	2% April 6 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $105 Liquidity: $10K	3% April 7 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $50 Liquidity: $10K
$90	+12.5%	1%	0% April 1 @ $90 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $8K Liquidity: $15K	3% April 2 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 5% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $738 Liquidity: $14K	5% April 3 @ $90 Bid: 2% Ask: 9% Spread: 6.4% Volume: $741 Liquidity: $17K	8% April 4 @ $90 Bid: 7% Ask: 9% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $18K	11% April 5 @ $90 Bid: 8% Ask: 13% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $221 Liquidity: $10K	13% April 6 @ $90 Bid: 10% Ask: 16% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $10K	15% April 7 @ $90 Bid: 12% Ask: 18% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $10K
$80	+0.0%	51%	88% April 1 @ $80 Bid: 87% Ask: 88% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $16K	79% April 2 @ $80 Bid: 76% Ask: 82% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $17K	74% April 3 @ $80 Bid: 71% Ask: 77% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $16K	71% April 4 @ $80 Bid: 68% Ask: 73% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $131 Liquidity: $10K	69% April 5 @ $80 Bid: 66% Ask: 71% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $18 Liquidity: $10K	66% April 6 @ $80 Bid: 63% Ask: 69% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $11K	65% April 7 @ $80 Bid: 62% Ask: 67% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $49 Liquidity: $11K
$70	-12.5%	99%	100% April 1 @ $70 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $18K	98% April 2 @ $70 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $15K	99% April 3 @ $70 Bid: 99% Ask: 99% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $15K	98% April 4 @ $70 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $15K	98% April 5 @ $70 Bid: 98% Ask: 98% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $16K	97% April 6 @ $70 Bid: 96% Ask: 98% Spread: 2.2% Volume: $30 Liquidity: $10K	96% April 7 @ $70 Bid: 95% Ask: 97% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $10K
$60	-25.0%	99%	100% April 1 @ $60 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $716 Liquidity: $14K	100% April 2 @ $60 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $266 Liquidity: $11K	99% April 3 @ $60 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.7% Volume: $512 Liquidity: $15K	99% April 4 @ $60 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.2% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $15K	98% April 5 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $342 Liquidity: $10K	98% April 6 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $561 Liquidity: $14K	99% April 7 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.8% Volume: $135 Liquidity: $10K
$50	-37.5%	99%	100% April 1 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $20K	100% April 2 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $14K	100% April 3 @ $50 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $15K	98% April 4 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $811 Liquidity: $15K	98% April 5 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $10K	98% April 6 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $10K	98% April 7 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $189 Liquidity: $10K
$40	-50.0%	99%	100% April 1 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $30K	100% April 2 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $14K	100% April 3 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $15K	99% April 4 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.8% Volume: $693 Liquidity: $15K	98% April 5 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $10K	98% April 6 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $10K	98% April 7 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $10K
$30	-62.5%	99%	—	—	100% April 3 @ $30 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $15K	100% April 4 @ $30 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $17K	99% April 5 @ $30 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $120 Liquidity: $11K	98% April 6 @ $30 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $10K	98% April 7 @ $30 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $10K

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