ETH Sentiment

Polymarket prediction markets

ETH/USDT

$2,100

NEUTRAL

50.9% up

Last update: 02:35 AM UTC

Pivot Strikes

Strike price closest to 50% probability for each date

April 1

$2K

39%

April 2

$2K

44%

April 3

$2K

45%

April 4

$2K

46%

April 5

$2K

47%

April 6

$2K

47%

April 7

$2K

48%

Fair Value Analysis

Normal

Historical probabilities vs Polymarket odds (30d lookback)

μ: -0.00%

σ: 0.69%

P(up): 51.8%

n=720

μ: +0.00%

σ: 1.46%

P(up): 56.1%

n=180

μ: +0.04%

σ: 3.11%

P(up): 50.0%

n=30

Loading prices...

View ETH markets on Polymarket

Strike Ladder

Probability of ETH above each strike at resolution. Hover for details.

Price:

Strike	Diff%	Fair (4h/30d)	Apr 1	Apr 2	Apr 3	Apr 4	Apr 5	Apr 6	Apr 7
$2,700	+28.6%	1%	0% April 1 @ $2,700 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $14K Liquidity: $50K	—	—	—	—	—	—
$2,600	+23.8%	1%	0% April 1 @ $2,600 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $9K Liquidity: $22K	0% April 2 @ $2,600 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $9K Liquidity: $30K	—	—	—	1% April 6 @ $2,600 Bid: 1% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $537 Liquidity: $16K	2% April 7 @ $2,600 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $12K
$2,500	+19.0%	1%	0% April 1 @ $2,500 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $11K Liquidity: $26K	0% April 2 @ $2,500 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $21K	1% April 3 @ $2,500 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $337 Liquidity: $12K	1% April 4 @ $2,500 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $17K	2% April 5 @ $2,500 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.9% Volume: $781 Liquidity: $16K	1% April 6 @ $2,500 Bid: 1% Ask: 2% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $17K	4% April 7 @ $2,500 Bid: 3% Ask: 5% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $30 Liquidity: $12K
$2,400	+14.3%	1%	0% April 1 @ $2,400 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $10K Liquidity: $23K	1% April 2 @ $2,400 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.4% Volume: $274 Liquidity: $13K	1% April 3 @ $2,400 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 1.1% Volume: $117 Liquidity: $12K	2% April 4 @ $2,400 Bid: 1% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.1% Volume: $380 Liquidity: $12K	3% April 5 @ $2,400 Bid: 2% Ask: 3% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $20K	5% April 6 @ $2,400 Bid: 3% Ask: 7% Spread: 3.6% Volume: $232 Liquidity: $12K	7% April 7 @ $2,400 Bid: 5% Ask: 8% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $158 Liquidity: $12K
$2,300	+9.5%	1%	1% April 1 @ $2,300 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $17K Liquidity: $20K	2% April 2 @ $2,300 Bid: 1% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.1% Volume: $433 Liquidity: $12K	4% April 3 @ $2,300 Bid: 4% Ask: 5% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $17K	8% April 4 @ $2,300 Bid: 6% Ask: 9% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $20K	9% April 5 @ $2,300 Bid: 7% Ask: 10% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $16K	12% April 6 @ $2,300 Bid: 10% Ask: 13% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $19K	13% April 7 @ $2,300 Bid: 11% Ask: 15% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $150 Liquidity: $12K
$2,200	+4.8%	1%	2% April 1 @ $2,200 Bid: 2% Ask: 2% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $22K Liquidity: $23K	12% April 2 @ $2,200 Bid: 11% Ask: 12% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $7K Liquidity: $21K	16% April 3 @ $2,200 Bid: 14% Ask: 18% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $19K	20% April 4 @ $2,200 Bid: 19% Ask: 21% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $241 Liquidity: $13K	22% April 5 @ $2,200 Bid: 19% Ask: 24% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $424 Liquidity: $12K	25% April 6 @ $2,200 Bid: 23% Ask: 27% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $178 Liquidity: $13K	28% April 7 @ $2,200 Bid: 27% Ask: 29% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $239 Liquidity: $13K
$2,100	+0.0%	55%	39% April 1 @ $2,100 Bid: 38% Ask: 40% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $20K Liquidity: $21K	44% April 2 @ $2,100 Bid: 42% Ask: 46% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $20K	45% April 3 @ $2,100 Bid: 43% Ask: 47% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $20K	46% April 4 @ $2,100 Bid: 44% Ask: 48% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $449 Liquidity: $13K	47% April 5 @ $2,100 Bid: 44% Ask: 49% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $433 Liquidity: $13K	47% April 6 @ $2,100 Bid: 45% Ask: 49% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $20K	48% April 7 @ $2,100 Bid: 46% Ask: 49% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $131 Liquidity: $13K
$2,000	-4.8%	98%	93% April 1 @ $2,000 Bid: 92% Ask: 94% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $22K Liquidity: $23K	84% April 2 @ $2,000 Bid: 82% Ask: 85% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $14K Liquidity: $20K	79% April 3 @ $2,000 Bid: 77% Ask: 81% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $15K Liquidity: $20K	—	74% April 5 @ $2,000 Bid: 72% Ask: 75% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $243 Liquidity: $13K	70% April 6 @ $2,000 Bid: 68% Ask: 72% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $686 Liquidity: $18K	69% April 7 @ $2,000 Bid: 67% Ask: 71% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $52 Liquidity: $12K
$1,900	-9.5%	99%	99% April 1 @ $1,900 Bid: 99% Ask: 99% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $35K Liquidity: $18K	97% April 2 @ $1,900 Bid: 97% Ask: 97% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $17K Liquidity: $21K	95% April 3 @ $1,900 Bid: 94% Ask: 96% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $8K Liquidity: $22K	92% April 4 @ $1,900 Bid: 91% Ask: 93% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $10K Liquidity: $22K	89% April 5 @ $1,900 Bid: 88% Ask: 90% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $8K Liquidity: $21K	88% April 6 @ $1,900 Bid: 86% Ask: 89% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $152 Liquidity: $13K	87% April 7 @ $1,900 Bid: 86% Ask: 87% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $329 Liquidity: $12K
$1,800	-14.3%	99%	100% April 1 @ $1,800 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $17K Liquidity: $20K	99% April 2 @ $1,800 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $10K Liquidity: $17K	98% April 3 @ $1,800 Bid: 98% Ask: 99% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $17K	97% April 4 @ $1,800 Bid: 97% Ask: 98% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $12K Liquidity: $21K	96% April 5 @ $1,800 Bid: 96% Ask: 97% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $10K Liquidity: $22K	95% April 6 @ $1,800 Bid: 95% Ask: 95% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $21K	94% April 7 @ $1,800 Bid: 94% Ask: 95% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $311 Liquidity: $12K
$1,700	-19.0%	99%	100% April 1 @ $1,700 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $52K Liquidity: $27K	100% April 2 @ $1,700 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $8K Liquidity: $19K	99% April 3 @ $1,700 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $17K	99% April 4 @ $1,700 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $8K Liquidity: $18K	99% April 5 @ $1,700 Bid: 99% Ask: 99% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $22K	98% April 6 @ $1,700 Bid: 98% Ask: 98% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $21K	98% April 7 @ $1,700 Bid: 98% Ask: 98% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $16K
$1,600	-23.8%	99%	—	100% April 2 @ $1,600 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $22K	99% April 3 @ $1,600 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $7K Liquidity: $18K	100% April 4 @ $1,600 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $8K Liquidity: $17K	99% April 5 @ $1,600 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $17K	99% April 6 @ $1,600 Bid: 99% Ask: 99% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $17K	98% April 7 @ $1,600 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.9% Volume: $209 Liquidity: $12K
$1,500	-28.6%	99%	—	—	99% April 3 @ $1,500 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $17K	99% April 4 @ $1,500 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $16K	99% April 5 @ $1,500 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.2% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $17K	—	—

Up/Down Markets

Average probability of BTC going up per interval

Prediction History

How market probabilities evolved throughout the day vs ETH price

ETH Price

Select a date to view prediction history